The last series of state elections before India goes to polls to elect the central government concluded this month. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) lost power to Congress in three key states — one of the biggest losses for the party in local elections since 2014. With the change, the BJP now rules 15 states, while Congress controls six.
Who runs which state in India
![](https://i0.wp.com/graphics.reuters.com/INDIA-ELECTION/010081Q132Y/images/map-lg.png?w=1300&ssl=1)
BJP
BJP and allies
Congress
Congress and allies
Communist
Other
CHINA
PAKISTAN
BHUTAN
New Delhi
NEPAL
BANGLADESH
MYANMAR
Puducherry
SRI LANKA
How power has shifted in different Indian state assemblies over time
2013PERCENTAGE OF SEATS →0255075100%RajasthanMadhya PradeshGujaratChhattisgarhGoaDelhiUttarakhandHimachal PradeshBiharJharkhandKarnatakaMaharashtraJammu & KashmirUttar PradeshPunjabArunachal PradeshHaryanaOdishaAssamNagalandAndhra PradeshTripuraMizoramManipurKeralaMeghalayaWest BengalPuducherryTamil NaduSikkim
A constant rise in saffron
Today, the BJP controls a third of the total seats in Indian state assemblies. Contrast that with two decades ago —— when the party had less than a fifth. Meanwhile, Congress has gradually faded away, from its peak in the 80s to half of that today. The dominance of regional and other national parties in the state assemblies remains significant, while communist parties have limited popularity in particular regions.
![](https://i0.wp.com/graphics.reuters.com/INDIA-ELECTION/010081Q132Y/images/chart-ai-large_copy.png?w=1300&ssl=1)
PERCENTAGE OF SEATS HELD IN STATE ASSEMBLIES
0
50%
75%
25%
100%
1980
BJP is formed soon after the era of Janata Dal. The party bags its first set of seats in state assemblies of Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat
RULING PARTY AT THE CENTRE
As Congress regains control of the central government, it also starts winning state elections
1985
1990
BJP forms its first state governments in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh
1995
BJP forms the state government in Gujarat
Under Atal Bihari Vajpayee’s leadership, the BJP forms the central government
2000
As the Manmohan Singh government stays in power in New Delhi, Congress maintains momentum in state assemblies as well
2005
2010
Parties other than the BJP and Congress start gaining relevance again
Narendra Modi’s government is formed in New Delhi
2015
BJP gains government control in Tripura, Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand
Congress gains seats in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan
2018
Varying trends
Regional politics vary from state to state. While some continue to remain strongholds of certain parties, others have seen a recent change in power despite historical dominance of another. In other states, power changes hands every election, making anti-incumbency a major factor.
Recent shift in power despite being strongholds historically
ARUNACHAL PRADESH50%’80’90’00’10’18
CHHATTISGARH’80’90’00’10’18
BJP lost to Congress in Chhattisgarh for the first time in the recent elections
DELHI’80’90’00’10’18
Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party comes to power in 2013
TRIPURA’80’90’00’10’18
BJP overtook CPM in Tripura for the first time in 2018
WEST BENGAL’80’90’00’10’18
Power changes hands every election
HARYANA50%’80’90’00’10’18
HIMACHAL PRADESH’80’90’00’10’18
KARNATAKA’80’90’00’10’18
KERALA’80’90’00’10’18
Kerala is the only state where a communist party is still in power
RAJASTHAN’80’90’00’10’18
UTTARAKHAND’80’90’00’10’18
Regional parties as the driving force
BIHAR50%’80’90’00’10’18
Janata Dal (United) and Rashtriya Janata Dal dominate
JAMMU & KASHMIR’80’90’00’10’18
ODISHA’80’90’00’10’18
SIKKIM’80’90’00’10’18
TAMIL NADU’80’90’00’10’18
Northeast India has been historically dominated by Congress and regional parties
ASSAM50%’80’90’00’10’18
MANIPUR’80’90’00’10’18
MEGHALAYA’80’90’00’10’18
MIZORAM’80’90’00’10’18
NAGALAND’80’90’00’10’18
For other states, a set pattern is harder to identify
ANDHRA PRADESH50%’80’90’00’10’18
GOA’80’90’00’10’18
GUJARAT’80’90’00’10’18
Gujarat remains a BJP stronghold since 1995
JHARKHAND’80’90’00’10’18
MADHYA PRADESH’80’90’00’10’18
After winning three consecutive elections, BJP lost by very few seats this year
MAHARASHTRA’80’90’00’10’18
PUDUCHERRY’80’90’00’10’18
PUNJAB’80’90’00’10’18
UTTAR PRADESH’80’90’00’10’18
Sources: Election Commission of India. The Indian State Assembly Election and Candidates Database 1961- today (Jensenius and Verniers 2017), Trivedi Center for Political Data.
REUTERS
18/12/2018
Categories: India News